What does the U.S. and Japan's chip restriction plan for China aim for?

United States of America and the History of Japan, It is chinesee the Chip Chip technology has reached the final stage in an important agreement to restrict its exports. But Japanese companies are concerned about possible threats of retaliation from China following these export restrictions. Well, China's chip production share of market What is it? What are the main objectives of the agreement? China USA and Japan The chip industry What are the possible retaliation strategies against export controls on it? China chip productionWhat are their strategic goals and what policies are they implementing to achieve them? What can be said about China's long-term chip production strategy? the Turkish Asian Center for Strategic Studies⁇ nden (TASAM) Prof. Dr. Sedat Aybar Thoughts on the subject Sputnik ⁇ e (disambiguation) He told me privately.

China is considering reducing its dependence on the outside in manufacturing in chip-using industries

Prof. Dr. Sedat AybaIndicating China's role in the global chip industry, he said that the country is considering reducing its dependence on outside production in chip-using industries.; “People of China⁇ in (disambiguation) the Chip IndustryIts global share has risen considerably, especially recently. China, which dominated 3 percent of the global chip market in 2010, increased its share to 5 percent as of 2022. Industries and products that use chips Considering the prevalence of the basis of China's production, this rate is not very much.. What this reality reveals is that the import dependence of the chips used in Çin ⁇ in products is high. Therefore, China will increase its chip production capacity from $10 billion in 2020. It aims to increase to 100 billion dollars by 2025. Thus, it considers reducing its dependence on imports and external dependence in the industries and production of products using chips. While China is reducing its import dependence, it wants to be a major player in the global chip supply chain by making such a serious breakthrough, especially to compete with Taiwan and South Korea in its region..”

China is implementing a series of policies to take over the scientific field in which the West is unquestionably superior.

Aybar, Talking about the Chinese government's incentives to the chip industry, “China is implementing a series of policies to take over the scientific field in which the West is unquestionably superior. He completes his thoughts on the subject with these words:

In order to achieve the goals of the Chinese government, In 2021, it invested $150 billion in the chip industry. Chinese companies producing chips were provided with tax reductions and Since 2020, large amounts of incentives have been provided for R&D studies through the Semiconductor Industry Development Fund. Chip production covers capital-intensive, high-tech production and labor processes. The sustainability of the technological infrastructure to carry out such production requires academic/scientific/intellectual advanced processes. This imposes a capacity building. The formation of such capacities, which are very expensive, and the scientific infrastructure did not exist in China until recently. The Chinese government is working to make breakthroughs in digital breakthroughs, technological applications that can land on the dark side of the moon, the use of Big Data, robotics, artificial intelligence, etc. In addition, he has recently made serious attempts to create a scientific/academic infrastructure. The resources allocated to R&D studies and efforts to transfer scientific publications to China should always be seen as part of these incentives. China is implementing a series of policies to take over the scientific field in which the West is unquestionably superior. China predicts that their output will produce a series of results for chip production.

The main issue of China is to be able to manage a very large economy without overthrowing it.

Prof. Dr. Sedat Aybar, China's long-term strategies “It aims to meet 70 percent of semiconductors with domestic production by 2025“ He stated in his sentence and “China's most important strategic goal, which feeds its appetite for such an increase in chip production, is to reduce external dependence on its production and thus to maintain its cost advantage in international competition. In particular, due to the increasing wages in the country, there is an effort to make its own economic internal and external balances sustainable behind its orientation to products with high technological added value. It is part of the desire to prevent the surplus economy from evolving into the deficit economy due to the increasing reality of total consumption at home. The main reason for the drive to promote chip production should be seen as a smaller part of the economic policy package to harmonize internal and external balances. This is different from the explanations that are emphasized too much in the West and emphasize the efforts to achieve a global leverage of power. The main problem of China is to be able to manage a very large economy with a very large population without overthrowing it. In addition, global power projections can possibly be explained in scenarios involving international relations. While all these scenarios are being set up It should be noted that Çin ⁇ in pursues policies such as supporting domestic companies in chip production, encouraging technology transfer and especially establishing international collaborations.“ He said it.

⁇ US and Japan's agreement to restrict Chinese exports causes a contraction in China's chip industry ⁇

Aybar, The U.S. and Japan said the agreement to restrict China's chip technology exports would cause a significant contraction in the Chinese chip industry if it came into force.

The fact that ABD ⁇ limits the export of high-tech semiconductors inevitably causes a significant contraction in China's chip industry. The main objective of this type of U.S. trade strategy towards China is to limit its military and strategic capabilities by blocking the access of high-tech semiconductors to China. In this way, Çin ⁇ in considers to control the situations where it can strengthen the semiconductor industry and reduce the impact of trade sanctions that can be imposed on it. ⁇

The U.S. predicts that if the deal is completed, China could lead to a contraction of up to 30 percent in the chip industry.

Prof. Dr. Sedat Aybar stated that the main goal of the new export controls planned by ABD ⁇ is to cause a contraction in the Çin ⁇ in chip industry and stated the following on the subject:

“The United States foresees that sanctions and trade controls could lead to a contraction of up to 30 percent in China's chip industry and does not want to lose this advantage. Therefore, the It also wants countries such as its allies South Korea, Taiwan and Japan to cooperate with it and restrict the export of high-tech semiconductors.. The U.S. provides financial and R&D support to help maintain the competitiveness of companies in this country, which is likely to be adversely affected by this situation. As a result of such supports, global chip supply times are projected to increase by 20-30 percent. Thus, further regional decomposition of the chip industry and the creation of independent semiconductor markets should be expected. ⁇

Tariff response from China to USA

China has reacted to the tariff increases that the U.S. imposed on some products imported from China on the grounds of protecting strategic industries.

China's Commerce Ministry said in a statement that all measures will be taken to protect the interests of Chinese companies while calling on the U.S. to return from its mistake.

China has previously protested against tariffs based on section 301 of the U.S. Trade Act, while the World Trade Organization has ruled that these tariffs violate trade rules, and China is extremely uncomfortable with and opposes tariff increases on some products.

Section 301 of the U.S. Trade Act of 1974 authorizes the President of the United States to take appropriate tariff-based and non-tariff-based measures, including retaliation, to counteract the effects of any act, policy, or practice of a foreign government violating international law.

The Chinese leader: We hope to develop stable relations with the United States.

In the meeting with Sullivan, both countries and China-United States relations Noting that there have been great changes, ⁇Despite this, Beijing's commitment to developing stable, healthy and sustainable Sino-US relations remains unchanged.He said ⁇ .

The Chinese leader with the United States and mutual respect, While noting that the principles of interaction on the basis of peaceful coexistence and mutually beneficial cooperation remain unchanged for the country, the Beijing administration's unwavering stance on firmly defending the country's own sovereignty, security and development interests, as well as the Continuing the traditional friendship He stressed that his efforts remained the same.

The two major powers, China and the United States, peace in the world and the source of its stability, should also become the engine of development, Şi continued his words as follows:

We hope that the USA will approach Çin ⁇ , look at Çin ⁇ 's development from a positive and rational perspective, see each other's development as an opportunity, not a challenge, and work with China to look for the right way for the two great powers to work together.

⁇ (translated)People want openness and progress, not closure and regressionHe added that countries need unity and coordination rather than division and conflict in the face of a changing and turbulent world.

The United States does not seek to start a conflict with China.

Speaking at a meeting with Chinese leader Xi Sullivan, While emphasizing that they do not support Taiwan's independence, a new the Cold War He said he wasn't looking for a start.

Underlining that the U.S. does not intend to enter into conflict with China, Sullivan said,The United States is not trying to start a new Cold War, it is not trying to change the Chinese system, it does not want to confront China by strengthening the alliance system, it does not support Taiwan's independence and He has no intention of entering into conflict with China. I want to emphasize againHe said ⁇ .

Sullivan, President of the United States Joe the Biden ⁇ President of China in the near future Looking forward to meeting Xi When he said his words, ⁇The United States hopes to maintain strategic contacts with China and find a way for the two countries to live together peacefully and for the sustainable development of China-U.S. relations. President Biden looks forward to meeting with President Xi Jinping again soon⁇ completed it.

Chinese leader Xi, while conveying his greetings to Biden ⁇ a, Ready to Keep Contacts He added that it was.

The possibility that the two leaders will meet at the G20 Summit in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on November 18-19 is not excluded.

Canada Prepares to Close Railways Due to Business Dispute

North American industrial groups and transporters, Canada's two largest railway companies Canadian National Railway (TSX:CNR) and Canadian Pacific (NYSE:CP) face the possibility of a significant outage as Kansas City may experience a simultaneous downtime. This situation, which could lead to billions of dollars in economic damage, has led to widespread concern due to Canada's great dependence on rail transport for various goods such as grain, cars and coal.

Greg Northey, Pulse Canada's vice president of public affairs, described the possible pause as a catastrophe, stressing the severity of the impact it would have on the transport of goods.

The stalemate of negotiations between the railway companies and the Teamsters union led to accusations of mutual misconduct. Both rail operators said they would start laying off workers on August 22 if an employment agreement was not reached, and the union said it was ready to go on strike on the same date.

Sector groups are calling on the Liberal government, led by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Labour Minister Steven MacKinnon, to intervene and prevent work stoppage action. The importance of railways is about 380 billion C per year.$ of $277 billion. $) is emphasized by the transportation of goods of value. The Canadian Business Council described the cut as eerie, citing the potential impact on millions of Canadian jobs.

The impending pause also threatens to affect U.S. freight traffic due to close economic ties between Canada and the United States. Canada's Approximate %It exports 75 ⁇ to ABD ⁇ and the railway networks of CN and CPKC ⁇ are connected to many major railway and transportation centers of ABD ⁇ .

CN has announced that it will impose embargoes on new reservations for dangerous goods, safety-sensitive cargoes or refrigerated containers from Canada starting Thursday, and on all intermodal traffic from various U.S. hubs starting Friday.

U.S. rail operator Norfolk Southern (NYSE:NSC) has also imposed embargoes on dangerous and safety-sensitive cargo to or from CN and CPKC ⁇ 's networks.

The possible rail disruption prompted U.S. logistics firm C.H. Robinson ⁇ u to look for additional truck capacity on both sides of the border. Scott Shannon, one of the company's senior executives, highlighted the unprecedented level of disruption that could occur if all trains in Canada stopped.

As pressure on the government to address the situation increases, industry groups point out that Minister MacKinnon ⁇ has the authority to refer the dispute to the country's labour relations board, which could prevent a pause. MacKinnon said he prefers a solution that has been negotiated so far.

The economic repercussions of the railway stoppage are already being calculated. Morgan Stanley warned customers earlier this week that Glencore ⁇ un (OTC:GLNCY) could lose more than $100 million a week in pre-tax earnings due to a disruption of coal shipments from its Elk Valley Resources unit. Meanwhile, the Chemical Industry Association of Canada has raised concerns about chlorine shipments, which are vital to maintaining drinking water quality.

CEO Bob Masterson highlighted the inadequacy of trucking resources to compensate for rail capacity, stressing that there is typically no viable alternative to rail transport for the volume of goods transported.

The currency conversion rate mentioned is 1 $ ⁇ 1.3721 Canadian dollars.

Reuters contributed to this article.

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